Archive for Italian Future

Embracing the reality: Italy needs immigration

Posted in Economics, Immigration, Paradoxes, Politics with tags , , , , , , , on Jun 21, 2008 by Cicero

Let’s face it. Italy is an old country, not only considering its history, but also considering its current population. Comparing Italy’s population to that of one of the BRICs (Brazil), it is evident that both countries are in different phases, considering population distribution.

Italy - population pyramid

Brazil - population pyramid

DTM (Demographic Transition) is a model used to explain how a population behaves during the time. This model has five stages in which a country population can be placed. The Stage Five has countries whose populations are reproducing below their replacement levels. Clearly speaking, countries unable to produce enough children to replace their parents, in the future.

Italy is in Stage Five. Without a significant immigration effort, the Italian population will soon begin to fall, with obvious geopolitical and economical consequences.

Italy will soon be unable to produce wealth for its next generations. Without a smart immigration policy Italy will be unable to cope with future changes, to innovate.

Italy will continue shrink in power, wealth and intelligence.

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